Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
