Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cittadella in this match.
