Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
2.27) 
-3.31) 
