Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Monza |
42.82% | 25.99% | 31.18% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% | 51.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% | 73.03% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% | 23.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% | 57.87% |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% | 30.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% | 66.7% |
Score Analysis |
SPAL | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.18% |
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