Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Bari
41.74% ( 0.04)	28.49% ( -0.01)	29.76% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.08% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.99% (

0.03)

61.01% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19% (

0.02)

81% (

-0.02)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

0.04)

28.83% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32% (

0.05)

64.68% (

-0.04)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.33% (

-0.01)

36.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54% (

-0.01)

73.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Pisa 41.73%

Bari 29.76%

Draw 28.49%

Pisa	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 13.14% 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.76%