Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 46.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.19) 
