Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Modena |
47.31% (![]() | 25.15% (![]() | 27.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.5% (![]() | 49.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.47% (![]() | 71.53% (![]() |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% (![]() | 20.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% (![]() | 53.69% (![]() |
Modena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.74% (![]() | 32.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.24% (![]() | 68.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SPAL | Draw | Modena |
1-0 @ 10.56% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 11.95% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: