Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
