Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
