Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
