Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
