Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
