Monza
2 - 0
Cittadella

(Cittadella win 3-2 on aggregate)

Balotelli (58'), D'Alessandro (78')
Pirola (33'), Sampirisi (39'), Barberis (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Urso (29'), Tsadjout (38'), Kastrati (69')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Monza and Cittadella.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Cittadella
43.55%	25.07%	31.39%

Both teams to score 56.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.85%

47.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62%

69.38%

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35%

21.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21%

54.78%

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68%

28.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95%

64.05%

Score Analysis

Monza 43.55%

Cittadella 31.39%

Draw 25.06%

Monza	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.55%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.39%