SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Maribor win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
40.39% ( -0.36) | 25.83% ( 0.25) | 33.77% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -1.06) | 49.77% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.96) | 71.78% ( 0.96) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -0.65) | 24.33% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( -0.94) | 58.72% ( 0.94) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( -0.45) | 28.09% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% ( -0.57) | 63.75% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.77% |
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