SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Aluminij win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Koper would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Koper | Draw | Aluminij |
52.8% ( -0.01) | 24.02% ( 0.04) | 23.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( -0.2) | 48.33% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( -0.18) | 70.48% ( 0.18) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( -0.08) | 18.26% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( -0.13) | 49.31% ( 0.13) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( -0.14) | 35.29% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.95% ( -0.14) | 72.04% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Koper | Draw | Aluminij |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.17% |
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