Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.
Result | ||
NS Mura | Draw | Aluminij |
48.19% ( -0.9) | 24.27% ( 0.46) | 27.54% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 56.43% ( -1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( -1.75) | 45.71% ( 1.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( -1.68) | 68.03% ( 1.68) |
NS Mura Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.94% ( -1.04) | 19.06% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.35% ( -1.75) | 50.65% ( 1.75) |
Aluminij Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.72% ( -0.58) | 30.28% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.54% ( -0.7) | 66.46% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
NS Mura | Draw | Aluminij |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.19% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.54% |
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