SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rogaska win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rogaska win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for an Aluminij win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | Aluminij |
56.64% ( -0.07) | 21.94% ( 0.01) | 21.42% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.05) | 41.18% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( 0.06) | 63.57% ( -0.05) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( -0) | 14.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.74% ( -0.01) | 42.25% ( 0.01) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0.09) | 32.91% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% ( 0.1) | 69.49% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | Aluminij |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.64% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 21.42% |
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