SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Celje had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Koper | Draw | Celje |
38.69% ( 0.96) | 25.71% ( -0.06) | 35.6% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( 0.22) | 48.95% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( 0.19) | 71.04% ( -0.2) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.62) | 24.86% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( 0.85) | 59.46% ( -0.85) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.42) | 26.58% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( -0.55) | 61.8% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Koper | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 35.6% |
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