SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
36.33% ( 0.92) | 24.57% ( -0.03) | 39.11% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( 0.26) | 43.68% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( 0.25) | 66.07% ( -0.25) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( 0.62) | 23.72% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( 0.89) | 57.86% ( -0.88) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.32) | 22.28% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( -0.48) | 55.74% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.11% |
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