SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Domzale | Draw | Celje |
31.31% ( -0.18) | 26.89% ( 0.07) | 41.8% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.28% ( -0.35) | 54.72% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( -0.3) | 76.04% ( 0.29) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.81% ( -0.31) | 32.19% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.32% ( -0.35) | 68.68% ( 0.35) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0.11) | 25.84% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( -0.14) | 60.8% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Domzale | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.32% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.79% |
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