Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Koper had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
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