SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
57.94% ( -0.07) | 22.23% ( 0.12) | 19.83% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( -0.57) | 44.63% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -0.56) | 66.99% ( 0.56) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( -0.22) | 15.12% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0.41) | 43.68% ( 0.41) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.38) | 36.44% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.77% ( -0.38) | 73.23% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.22% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.83% |
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