SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
26.25% ( -0.29) | 23.69% ( -0.23) | 50.05% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( 0.81) | 44.09% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( 0.78) | 66.47% ( -0.78) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( 0.2) | 30.41% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( 0.24) | 66.6% ( -0.25) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( 0.5) | 17.7% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( 0.87) | 48.35% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.05% |
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