SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 67.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
67.17% ( -0.02) | 18.92% ( 0.01) | 13.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( -0.02) | 40.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% ( -0.02) | 62.85% ( 0.02) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.01) | 11.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.44% ( -0.03) | 35.55% ( 0.02) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( 0) | 41.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( 0) | 77.7% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.08% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 4.03% Total : 67.17% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.92% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.9% |
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