SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rogaska win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rogaska win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rogaska would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Rogaska |
33.45% ( -0.25) | 25.27% ( -0.01) | 41.28% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.03) | 47.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( -0.03) | 69.61% ( 0.03) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.17) | 27.13% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.22) | 62.53% ( 0.22) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.11) | 22.83% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.17) | 56.56% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Rogaska |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.28% |
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