SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Rogaska win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Rogaska |
67.39% ( -0.78) | 18.82% ( 0.46) | 13.78% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( -1.42) | 40.28% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.34% ( -1.48) | 62.65% ( 1.47) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% ( -0.6) | 11.01% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.69% ( -1.33) | 35.31% ( 1.33) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.44) | 41.21% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( -0.39) | 77.75% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Rogaska |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.09% Total : 67.39% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.82% | 0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.78% |
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