While Galatasaray will be wounded by their heavy Super Cup defeat last week, they should have more than enough quality to bounce back and start their Super Lig defence with a comfortable home win on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Hatayspor
70.57%	16.99% ( -0)	12.44%

Both teams to score 55.04% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.2%

34.8% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.24%

56.76% (

-0)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.22% (

-0)

8.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.86%

30.13% (

-0)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.34% (

-0)

39.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.66%

76.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 70.57%

Hatayspor 12.44%

Draw 16.99%

Galatasaray	Draw	Hatayspor
2-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 5.08% 4-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.57% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.06% 6-0 @ 1% 6-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.91% Total : 70.57%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.41% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.99%	1-2 @ 3.62% 0-1 @ 3.22% 0-2 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.63% Total : 12.44%