SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Fenerbahce |
23.13% ( 0.73) | 24.51% ( 0.32) | 52.37% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( -0.59) | 50.37% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.53) | 72.31% ( 0.53) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( 0.35) | 36.46% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.75% ( 0.35) | 73.24% ( -0.35) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.63) | 19.2% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( -1.06) | 50.89% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.13% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.36% |
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