Although Larnaca have won three of their last four games in all competitions, we think that they fall short against a Fenerbahce side who are aiming to clinch a sixth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	AEK Larnaca
56.35% ( -0.27)	24.93% ( 0.04)	18.71% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 44.14% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

0.13)

56.77% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

0.1)

77.71% (

-0.1)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88% (

-0.05)

20.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62% (

-0.09)

52.38% (

0.09)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.26% (

0.35)

44.74% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.27% (

0.28)

80.73% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 56.35%

AEK Larnaca 18.71%

Draw 24.93%

Fenerbahce	Draw	AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 56.35%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.71%