We said: Fenerbahce 3-2 Besiktas
With the ball hitting the back of the net at least twice in each of the last 11 meetings between Fenerbahce and Besiktas, goals are to be expected once again on Sunday.
Both sides will be keen to turn their fortunes around domestically, though we can see the hosts edging out their city rivals in an entertaining contest at the Estadio Sukru Saracoglu.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
