SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Lugano |
59.6% ( 0.01) | 20.77% ( -0) | 19.63% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0) | 38.26% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.45% ( 0) | 60.54% ( -0.01) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( 0) | 12.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.44% ( 0.01) | 38.56% ( -0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.01) | 32.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( -0.01) | 69.53% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.88% Total : 59.6% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.63% |
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