SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
19.77% ( 0.29) | 22.27% ( 0.04) | 57.95% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( 0.25) | 44.92% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0.24) | 67.28% ( -0.24) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( 0.44) | 36.68% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( 0.44) | 73.46% ( -0.44) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0.02) | 15.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% ( -0.04) | 43.86% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.77% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.95% |
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