SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Samsunspor |
43.4% ( -0.18) | 24.99% ( 0.05) | 31.61% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( -0.15) | 46.74% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% ( -0.14) | 69% ( 0.14) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( -0.14) | 21.55% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( -0.22) | 54.63% ( 0.23) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( 0.01) | 27.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( 0.01) | 63.61% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.61% |
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