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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gaziantep Stadyumu

Gaziantep
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Ersoy (46'), Jevtovic (89'), Monteiro (90+9')
Badji (31'), Jevtovic (90+1'), Markovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marcao (66')
Kourbelis (39'), Rohden (90+1')
Ceccherini (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-6 Gaziantep
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Gaziantep 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

There is a lot on the line for both of these teams this weekend, with each club fighting for survival in the Turkish Super Lig. While it is guaranteed to be a close fixture because of that, the Gaziantep's recent form being slightly stronger could be the difference maker. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawFatih Karagumruk
31.57% (0.043000000000003 0.04) 26.15% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 42.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.32% (0.042000000000002 0.04)51.68% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.46% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (0.058999999999997 0.06)66.67% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)24.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43%58.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 31.57%
    Fatih Karagumruk 42.28%
    Draw 26.14%
GaziantepDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.57%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-6 Gaziantep
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-2 Gaziantep
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-0 Kasimpasa
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 3-1 Gaziantep
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Alanyaspor
Tuesday, April 2 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, April 29 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, April 20 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, April 14 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, April 3 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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