Since winning on the opening day of the Super Lig season, Alanyaspor have struggled to pick up regular points, and we feel this theme will continue on Friday night.
Fatih showed their relative powers of recovery last time out against Kasimpasa, and an improved second-half performance in that game could give them enough momentum to earn a point here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
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