SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kasimpasa |
35.09% ( -0.01) | 24.76% ( 0.02) | 40.16% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.42% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( -0.1) | 44.72% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( -0.1) | 67.09% ( 0.1) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( -0.05) | 24.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( -0.07) | 59.51% ( 0.08) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.05) | 22.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( -0.07) | 55.65% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.16% |
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