SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Sivasspor |
46.83% ( 0.35) | 24.19% ( 0.15) | 28.97% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( -0.98) | 44.44% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( -0.96) | 66.81% ( 0.95) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0.25) | 19.11% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.26% ( -0.41) | 50.74% ( 0.4) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( -0.85) | 28.6% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( -1.07) | 64.4% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.97% |
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