SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
26.8% ( 1.13) | 22.12% ( 0.46) | 51.08% ( -1.59) |
| Both teams to score 63.37% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.72% ( -1.21) | 36.27% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.6% ( -1.33) | 58.4% ( 1.34) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.16) | 25.91% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0.21) | 60.89% ( -0.21) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( -0.93) | 14.47% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.55% ( -1.83) | 42.45% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.8% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.4% Total : 51.08% |
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