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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 54.69%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
23.1% ( 0.3) | 22.21% ( 0.04) | 54.69% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.19) | 40.41% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.19) | 62.79% ( -0.19) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( 0.36) | 30.98% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% ( 0.42) | 67.28% ( -0.42) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( -0.04) | 14.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.04% ( -0.08) | 42.96% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.69% |
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