SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
36.74% ( 0.02) | 25.67% ( 0.01) | 37.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.04) | 48.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( -0.04) | 70.8% ( 0.04) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.01) | 25.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( -0.01) | 60.76% ( 0.01) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.04) | 25.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( -0.05) | 60.12% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.59% |
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