SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
12.06% ( -0) | 18.18% ( 0.02) | 69.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.09) | 41.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -0.09) | 63.98% ( 0.09) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.26% ( -0.06) | 44.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.27% ( -0.05) | 80.73% ( 0.05) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( -0.03) | 10.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.24% ( -0.06) | 34.76% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.06% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.18% | 0-2 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 69.75% |
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