SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
18.94% ( 1.78) | 20.42% ( 0.68) | 60.64% ( -2.46) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( -0.12) | 37.7% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0.13) | 59.94% ( 0.12) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( 1.86) | 33.32% ( -1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( 2) | 69.94% ( -2) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( -0.71) | 12.06% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.42% ( -1.51) | 37.58% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.23)Other @ 3.09% Total : 18.94% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.46)0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.52)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.38)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.2)Other @ 4.1% Total : 60.64% |
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