SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kasimpasa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Alanyaspor |
31.55% ( 0.02) | 23.99% ( 0.02) | 44.45% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.8% ( -0.07) | 42.2% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.07) | 64.61% ( 0.08) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -0.02) | 25.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( -0.03) | 60.73% ( 0.03) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( -0.04) | 19.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.1% ( -0.07) | 50.9% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 44.45% |
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