SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Samsunspor |
32.16% ( -0.46) | 24.18% ( -0) | 43.65% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.15% ( -0.15) | 42.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.75% ( -0.15) | 65.24% ( 0.15) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.36) | 25.72% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( -0.48) | 60.64% ( 0.48) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( 0.14) | 19.81% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( 0.23) | 51.88% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.16% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 43.65% |
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