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FC
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parken
G

Copenhagen
1 - 0
Galatasaray

Lerager (58')
Jelert (38'), Lerager (85')
Lerager (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zaha (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Aarhus
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Copenhagen 2-3 Galatasaray

The footballing gods should bless the Parken Stadium turf with goals on Tuesday evening, as only a win will do for both sides if they are to make 100% certain of a knockout appearance, and attacking proficiency is where Galatasaray's strengths lie. Copenhagen have shown enough promise in the final third to suggest that a couple of goals could also come their way, but we simply cannot look past the offensive firepower at Buruk's disposal and are tipping Galatasaray to nab the second and final qualification spot in Group A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawGalatasaray
38.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 37.92% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 62.25% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (0.044000000000004 0.04)39.86% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)62.22% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (0.012 0.01)21.02% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (0.016999999999996 0.02)53.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.19% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.048999999999999 0.05)54.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 38.28%
    Galatasaray 37.92%
    Draw 23.79%
CopenhagenDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 38.28%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Aarhus
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Viborg 2-1 Copenhagen
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-0 Brondby
Sunday, November 12 at 11am in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Randers 2-4 Copenhagen
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-1 Adana Demirspor
Friday, December 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Pendikspor 0-2 Galatasaray
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 4-0 Alanyaspor
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-1 Galatasaray
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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