SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 38.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.72%) and 0-2 (4.86%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
38.52% ( 0.03) | 22.68% ( 0.01) | 38.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.67% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.06) | 34.14% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.06) | 56.03% ( 0.07) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( -0.01) | 18.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( -0.02) | 49.57% ( 0.02) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.04) | 18.29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( -0.07) | 49.36% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.8% |
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