Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Basel had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 0-2 (4.96%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
