SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
47.58% ( 0.17) | 22.85% ( -0.03) | 29.56% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.2% ( 0.08) | 37.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.95% ( 0.09) | 60.04% ( -0.09) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( 0.09) | 16.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.22% ( 0.17) | 45.77% ( -0.17) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( -0.04) | 24.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( -0.06) | 59.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.56% |
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