SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
37.23% ( -0.02) | 24.16% ( 0.01) | 38.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( -0.04) | 41.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( -0.04) | 64.05% ( 0.03) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -0.03) | 22.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% ( -0.03) | 55.8% ( 0.03) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -0.02) | 21.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( -0.02) | 54.76% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.6% |
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