Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Basel in this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	FC Winterthur
64.18%	19.92%	15.9%

Both teams to score 53.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.18%

40.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.8%

63.2%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97%

12.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49%

37.5%

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.32%

38.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.59%

75.41%

Score Analysis

Basel 64.18%

FC Winterthur 15.9%

Draw 19.92%

Basel	Draw	FC Winterthur
2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.71% Total : 64.18%	1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.71% 0-0 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.92%	1-2 @ 4.45% 0-1 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.49% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.9%