SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Grasshopper Zurich | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Luzern | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Basel | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Winterthur | 6 | -10 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 7 | -12 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grasshopper Zurich win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grasshopper Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
41.85% ( 0.91) | 22.69% ( 0.02) | 35.46% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 66.25% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.46% ( -0.29) | 34.54% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.52% ( -0.32) | 56.48% ( 0.32) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( 0.25) | 17.17% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% ( 0.44) | 47.42% ( -0.44) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.58) | 20.02% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.94) | 52.21% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.46% |
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